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Financial Distress Prediction Models for Wind Energy SMEs

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CONTENTS / INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CONTENTS, (P)1738-6764; (E)2093-7504
2014, v.10 no.4, pp.75-82
https://doi.org/10.5392/IJoC.2014.10.4.075
Nak-kyo Oh (Korea University Green School)

Abstract

The purpose of this paper was to identify suitable variables for financial distress prediction models and to compare the accuracy of MDA and LA for early warning signals for wind energy companies in Korea. The research methods, discriminant analysis and logit analysis have been widely used. The data set consisted of 15 wind energy SMEs in KOSDAQ with financial statements in 2012 from KIS-Value. We found that five financial ratio variables were statistically significant and the accuracy of MDA was 86%, while that of LA is 100%. The importance of this study is that it demonstrates empirically that financial distress prediction models are applicable to the wind energy industry in Korea as an early warning signs of impending bankruptcy.

keywords
Distress Prediction, Discriminant Analysis, Logit Analysis, SMEs, wind energy Sector

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CONTENTS