Purpose: This study aims to analyze the performance of local taxes in Indonesia through the estimation of tax capacity and tax effort, as well as classifying provinces based on the estimated value of tax capacity and tax effort. Research design, data and methodology: this study uses panel data of 34 provinces in Indonesia for the period of 2014-2018. The analytical method used in the tax capacity model is panel data regression to explain the factors that influence tax performance. Tax effort is estimated by the ratio of tax to tax capacity. Results: The results of the analysis show that gini ratio and regional expenditures have a significant positive effect on the tax ratio, while the share of GRDP in the manufacturing sector and HDI has a significant negative effect on the tax ratio. Based on the results, there are 19 provinces that have low tax capacity and 16 provinces that have low tax effort. Conclusions: The development of local tax performance tends to fluctuate with an average of 1.24 percent per year. Gini ratio and regional expenditure have a significant positive effect on the tax ratio, while the share of GRDP in the manufacturing sector and HDI have a significant negative effect on the tax ratio.
Andriany, D., & Qibthiyyah, R. M. (2018). Analisis Hubungan antara Infrastruktur Jalan dan Tax Capacity: Studi Kasus Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia, 33-50.
Baltagi, B. H. (2005). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. West Sussex: John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Bashayreh, A. G., & Oran, A. F. (2016). Tax Capacity and Effort and Economic Implications: Evidence from Jordan. Jordan Journal of Economic Sciences, 3, 179-191.
Boustan, L., Ferreira, F., Winkler, H., & Zolt, E. M. (2013). The Effect Of Rising Income Inequality On Taxation And Publik Expenditures: Evidence From U.S. Municipalities And School Districts, 1970-2000. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1291-1302.
Calderon, C., Benito, E. M., & Serven, L. (2014). Is Infrastructure Capital Productive? A Dynamic Heterogeneous Approach. Journal Of Applied Econometrics.
Eltony, M. N. (2002). The Determinants of Tax Effort in Arab Countries.
Garg, S., Goyal, A., & Pal, R. (2014). Why Tax Effort Falls Short of Capacity in Indian States: A Stochastic Frontier Approach. Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research.
Greene, W. H. (2003). Econometric Analysis 5th Ed. New Jersey:Pearson Education.
Gujarati, D. N. (2004). Basic Econometrics 4th ed. New York: The Mc-Graw-Hill Companies.
Ilzetzki, E. (2014). A Positive Theory of Tax Reform. London:London School of Economics.
ITEP (2011). Tax Policy Nuts and Bolts: Understanding the Tax Base nad Tax Rate. Washington: Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy.
Le, T. M., Dodson, B. M., & Bayraktar, N. (2012). Tax Capacity and Tax Effort Extended Cross-Country Analysis from 1994 to 2009. Policy Research Working Paper.
Le, T. M., Dodson, B. M., & Rojchaichaninthorn, J. (2008). Expanding Taxable Capacity and Reaching Revenue Potential: Cross-Country Analysis. Policy Research Working Paper.
Lotz, J. R., & Morss, E. R. (1967). Measuring "Tax Effort" In Developing Countries. International Monetary Fund StaffPaper, XIV, 478-499.
Mirrlees, J. A. (1971). An Exploration In The Theory of Optimum Income Taxation. The Review of Economic Studies, 38, 175-208.
Musgrave, R. A., & Musgrave, P. B. (1989). Publik Finance In Theory And Practice. Singapore: McGraw-Hill Book Company.
Mustaqiem (2014). Perpajakan Dalam Konteks Teori dan Hukum Pajak di Indonesia. Yogyakarta: Buku Litera.
Newbery, D., & Stern, N. (1987). The Theory of Taxation for Developing Countries. Washington: Oxford University Press.
Pessino, C., & Fenochietto, R. (2013). Understanding Countries Tax Effort. International Monetary Fund Working Paper.
Republik Indonesia. (2009). Undang-undang Nomor 28 Tahun 2009 About Local Taxes and Local Levies. Jakarta:Kementerian Hukum dan HAM RI.
Statistics Indonesia. (2019). Region in Figure 2019. Statistics Provinces.
Statistics Indonesia. (2016). Provinces and Regency Regional Financial Statistic for Each Povince 2015. Statistics Provinces.
Statistics Indonesia. (2017). Provinces and Regency Regional Financial Statistic for Each Povince 2016. Statistics Provinces.
Statistics Indonesia. (2017). Regional Financial Statistics for All Regencies 2015-2016 Book 1 (Sumatera, Java). Jakarta:Statistics Indonesia.
Statistics Indonesia. (2017). Regional Financial Statistics for All Regencies 2015-2016 Book 2 (Bali, Nusa Tenggara, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, Maluku, Papua). Jakarta:Statistics Indonesia.
Statistics Indonesia. (2018). Provinces and Regency Regional Financial Statistic for Each Povince 2017. Statistics Provinces.
Statistics Indonesia. (2018). Regional Financial Statistics for All Regencies 2016-2017 Book 1 (Sumatera, Java). Jakarta:Statistics Indonesia.
Statistics Indonesia. (2018). Regional Financial Statistics for All Regencies 2016-2017 Book 2 (Bali, Nusa Tenggara, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, Maluku, Papua). Jakarta:Statistics Indonesia.
Statistics Indonesia. (2019). Gross Regional Domestic Product for All Provinces in Indonesia Based On The Business Field 2014-2018. Jakarta: Statistics Indonesia.
Statistics Indonesia. (2019). Provinces and Regency Regional Financial Statistic for Each Povince 2018. Statistics Provinces.
Statistics Indonesia. (2019). Regional Financial Statistics for All Regencies 2017-2018 Book 1 (Sumatera, Java). Jakarta:Statistics Indonesia.
Statistics Indonesia. (2019). Regional Financial Statistics for All Regencies 2017-2018 Book 2 (Bali, Nusa Tenggara, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, Maluku, Papua). Jakarta:Statistics Indonesia.
Statistics Indonesia. (2020). Human Development Index. Statistics Indonesia. Accessed at 12 Maret 2021 via:http://www.bps.go.id
Statistics Indonesia. (2020). Gross Regional Domestic Product for All Provinces in Indonesia Based On The Business Field 2015-2019. Jakarta: Statistics Indonesia.
Statistics Indonesia. (2020). Regional Financial Statistics for All Regencies 2018-2019 Book 1 (Sumatera, Java). Jakarta:Statistics Indonesia.
Statistics Indonesia. (2020). Regional Financial Statistics for All Regencies 2018-2019 Book 2 (Bali, Nusa Tenggara, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, Maluku, Papua). Jakarta:Statistics Indonesia.
Statistics Indonesia. (2021). Gini Ratio.Statistics Indonesia. Accessed at 08 Maret 2021 via: http://www.bps.go.id
Stern, N. H. (1976). On The Specification of Models of Optimum Income Taxation. Journal of Publik Economics, 123-162.
Stotsky, J. G., & WoldeMariam, A. (1997). Tax Effort in Sub Saharan Africa. International Monetary Fund Working Paper.