Midterm Assessment on Forecasting Study of Korean Traditional Medicine

이경구; 신현규

Abstract

Objectives: This study was to assess the Korean Traditional Medicine forecast subjects that had been expected to be accomplished by 2005. The result will help the Korean medical society plan for policies and studies on Korean Traditional Medicine. Methods: Assessed targets were 64 subjects (expected to be studied until 2005) of the total 93 subjects from the "Mid- to Long-Term Forecast and Plan Study for Korean Traditional Medicine". The subjects were classified into two types: political subjects and research and development (R&D) subjects. These were determined by the quantity and contents of related political reports, political research projects, thesis, patent, placing products on sale, etc. Results: 1) 5 items of a total 12 political subjects were accomplished or partially accomplished (41.7%), and 9 items of a total 46 R&D subjects were accomplished or partially accomplished (9.5%). 2) While the accomplishment percentage (accomplished or partial accomplished) in literature arrangement and D/B construction field was 100%, it was under 10% in product or system development field. Thus, it seems that practical subjects were less accomplished than academic subjects. 3) On 8 subjects of "Forecast Research on Future of Oriental Medicine" which had been performed in Japan, the Korean expected dates when the subjects would be realized were earlier than the Japanese ones, but no subjects were realized. Conclusion: Political and academic subjects were accomplished more than R&D and practical subjects.

keywords: forecasting, assessment, oriental medicine, forecasting, assessment, oriental medicine

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한의학 미래예측(2000년-2010년)과제 중간 평가 연구

Midterm Assessment on Forecasting Study of Korean Traditional Medicine

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