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  • 한국과학기술정보연구원(KISTI) 서울분원 대회의실(별관 3층)
  • 2024년 07월 03일(수) 13:30
 

일산화탄소 단기 노출에 따른 순환계통 질환 위험과 진료비용 예측을 위한 IoT 활용 방안

IoT Utilization for Predicting the Risk of Circulatory System Diseases and Medical Expenses Due to Short-term Carbon Monoxide Exposure

한국사물인터넷학회논문지 / Journal of The Korea Internet of Things Society, (P)2466-0078;
2020, v.6 no.4, pp.7-14
https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.20465/kiots.2020.6.4.007
이상호 (목포대학교)
조광문 (목포대학교)
  • 다운로드 수
  • 조회수

초록

본 연구는 2010년 1월부터 2018년 12월까지 일산화탄소의 12일 단기 노출에 따른 순환계통 질환 사망자 수의영향관계를 분석하였고, 일산화탄소 농도 증가에 따른 미래의 순환계통 질환의 진료비용을 예측하였다. 한국환경공단의대기환경정보(Airkorea)와 한국 통계청에서 자료를 추출하였고, 포아송 회귀분석과 ARIMA 개입 모형을 사용하여 분석하였다. 통계처리는 SPSS Ver. 21.0 프로그램을 이용하였다. 연구 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 일산화탄소의 단기 노출에따른 순환계통 질환 사망에 영향관계를 당일부터 이전 11일 전까지 분석한 결과는 이전 11일에서 가장 높은 영향력이있는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 일산화탄소 농도 증가에 따라 미래의 순환계통 질환 진료비용은 2019년 예측값이 10,123 십억원으로 2018년 12월 말의 관측값 9,443십억원보다 높게 나타났다. 또한 월별로 정리해 보면 순환계통 질환 진료비용은 계절변동이 반영되어 1월 보다 12월로 갈수록 높아진다는 것을 알 수 있었다. 이러한 연구를 통하여 일산화탄소와같은 대기오염물질 증가에 따른 선제적 대응을 위하여

keywords
일산화탄소, 순환계통 질환, 진료비용, 포아송 회귀분석, ARIMA 개입 모형, Carbon Monoxide, Circulatory System Disease, Medical Expenses, Poisson Regression Analysis, ARIMA Intervention Model

Abstract

This study analyzed the effect of the number of deaths of circulatory system diseases according to 12-day short-term exposure of carbon monoxide from January 2010 to December 2018, and predicted the future treatment cost of circulatory system diseases according to increased carbon monoxide concentration. Data were extracted from Air Korea of Korea Environment Corporation and Korea Statistical Office, and analyzed using Poisson regression analysis and ARIMA intervention model. For statistical processing, SPSS Ver. 21.0 program was used. The results of the study are as follows. First, as a result of analyzing the relationship between the impact of short-term carbon monoxide exposure on death of circulatory system diseases from the day to the previous 11 days, it was found that the previous 11 days had the highest impact. Second, with the increase in carbon monoxide concentration, the future circulatory system disease treatment cost was estimated at 10,123 billion won in 2019, higher than the observed value of 9,443 billion won at the end of December 2018. In addition, when summarized by month, it can be seen that the cost of treatment for circulatory diseases increases from January to December, reflecting seasonal fluctuations. Through such research, the future for a healthy life for all citizens can be realized by distributing various devices and equipment utilizing IoT to preemptively respond to the increase in air pollutants such as carbon monoxide.

keywords
일산화탄소, 순환계통 질환, 진료비용, 포아송 회귀분석, ARIMA 개입 모형, Carbon Monoxide, Circulatory System Disease, Medical Expenses, Poisson Regression Analysis, ARIMA Intervention Model

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