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Prediction for Bicycle Demand using Spatial-Temporal Graph Models

Journal of The Korea Internet of Things Society / Journal of The Korea Internet of Things Society, (P)2799-4791;
2023, v.9 no.6, pp.111-117
https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.20465/kiots.2023.9.6.111
Jangwoo Park

Abstract

There is a lot of research on using a combination of graph neural networks and recurrent neural networks as a way to account for both temporal and spatial dependencies. In particular, graph neural networks are an emerging area of research. Seoul's bicycle rental service (aka Daereungi) has rental stations all over the city of Seoul, and the rental information at each station is a time series that is faithfully recorded. The rental information of each rental station has temporal characteristics that show periodicity over time, and regional characteristics are also thought to have important effects on the rental status. Regional correlations can be well understood using graph neural networks. In this study, we reconstructed the time series data of Seoul's bicycle rental service into a graph and developed a rental prediction model that combines a graph neural network and a recurrent neural network. We considered temporal characteristics such as periodicity over time, regional characteristics, and the degree importance of each rental station.

keywords
그래프 신경망, 순환 신경망, 시-공간 모델

Journal of The Korea Internet of Things Society