ISSN : 1226-0657
This paper focuses on computational contractual distinctions as an explanation for the spread between a forward contract and a similar futures contract which is derived and investigated. We evaluate this spread by constructing a time series model, which was established based on copula functions, and also show that the forward-futures spread is more significant for long maturity.
Chen, X. & Fan, Y.. (2006). Estimation of Copula-Based Semi-parametric Time Series Model. Journal of Econometrics, 130, 307-335. 10.1016/j.jeconom.2005.03.004.
Fredricks, G.A. & Nelsen, R.B.. (2007). On the relationship between Spearman's rho and Kendall's tau for pairs of continuous random variables. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 137(7), 2143-2150. 10.1016/j.jspi.2006.06.045.
Genest, C. & Rivest, L.P.. (1993). Statistical inference procedures for bivariate Archimedean copulas. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 88(423), 1034-1043. 10.1080/01621459.1993.10476372.
Grinblatt, M. & Jegadeesh, N.. (1996). Relative pricing of Eurodollar futures and forward contracts. The Journal of Finance, 51(4), 1499-1522. 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1996.tb04077.x.
J.C. Hull. Options, Futures and Other Derivatives.
Kendall, M.G.. (1938). A new measure of rank correlation. Biometrika, 30(12), 81-93. 10.1093/biomet/30.1-2.81.
Murawski, C.:. On the Forward-Futures Spread and Default Risk.
Nelsen, R.B.. An Introduction to Copulas.
Pumi, G. & Lopes, S.R.. Simulation of Univariate Time Series Using Copulas.
Schmidt, T.. Coping with copulas. Chapter forthcoming in Risk Books: Copulas-from theory to applications in finance.
Shreve, S.E.. Stochastic Calculus for Finance II -Continuous-Time Models.
Cox, J.C.; Ingersoll Jr, J.E. & Ross, S.A.. (1981). The relation between forward prices and futures prices. Journal of Financial Economics, 9(4), 321-346. 10.1016/0304-405X(81)90002-7.