- E-ISSN2288-2766
- KCI
E-ISSN : 2288-2766
The Methodological Aspects of Forecasting and the Analysis of Macroeconomic Indicators
Abstract
Purpose – The main research goals by macroeconomic analysis is to assess the effectiveness of state regulation, the sustainability of development, and the financial stability of the state. Research design, Data, and methodology – The research were analyzed using the methods of multivariate statistics and application of the software package Stat graphics. The volume of data from the 1995 to the 2021 was analyzed by Russian Federation. The scale of research on Belarus: to be analyzed the amount of data from the 2015 by 2021, on Kazakhstan – from the 19941, on Kyrgyzstan - from the 2002, on Tajikistan – from the 2008, on Armenia – from the 2021, on Japan – since the 1970, on China – since the 1950, on South Korea - since the 1953. Result – The methods of multivariate statistics was demonstrated exact of result in forecasting of macroeconomic indicators. The most of tendency with the accurate results of are described using the second-degree polynomials. In the most research of country there are the macroeconomic proportion are broken. Conclusion – In the countries studied, the monetary aggregates have a significant growth rate. The shares with a substantial monetary stock and the speed of its growth are divided in the two groups: having placements in the real sectors of the economy and not having received the same result of development from the growth of the monetary stock.
- keywords
- Macroeconomic Analysis, Forecast, Methods of Forecasting
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