- P-ISSN1229-0661
- E-ISSN1229-0661
- KCI
미디어의 범죄유발 효과에 있어서 사후가정사고의 역할: 처벌결과의 전환성에 따른 범죄의도
The Role of Counterfactual Thinking in Media's Criminogenic Effects: Criminal Intent with the Mutability of Punishment Consequences
장디 (고려대학교)
허태균 (고려대학교)
초록
범죄미디어에 대한 시청률이 갈수록 증가하고 있지만, 범죄미디어가 시청자들의 범죄의도에 미치는 효과와 그 심리적 기제는 명확하게 밝혀지지 않고 있다. 기존의 연구들에서는 대부분 사회학습 이론(Bandura, 1978)을 기초로, 범죄자 체포와 처벌이 억제효과를 가진다는 결과를 확인하여 왔지만, 여전히 결과에 있어서 완전한 일치를 보이고 있지 않다. 본 연구는 범죄자 체포과정에 대한 사후가정사고가 사회학습효과에 영향을 미칠 수 있다는 가설을 검증하기 위하여, 체포과정에서의 전환성을 조작하고 그에 따른 범죄의도의 변화를 확인하였다. 본 연구에서는 대학생 95명을 대상으로 학생들의 리포트 도용상황을 시나리오로 제시하고, 처벌결과와 전환가능성을 달리하는 세 가지 조건(무처벌조건, 우연처벌조건, 필연처벌조건)에 따른 응답자의 도용의도를 측정하였다. 응답자의 실제 도용경험을 공변량으로 하여 조건에 따른 도용의도를 분석한 결과, 같은 처벌을 받더라도 우연처벌 조건에서는 도용의도가 필연처벌 조건의 도용의도보다 높았으며, 처벌을 받지 않은 조건과 같은 수준이었다. 이는 처벌여부뿐만 아니라 그 처벌과정에 대한 묘사가 범죄의도에 영향을 미친다는 본연구의 주장과 일치하였다. 그리고 이러한 결과가 가지는 형사정책적인 의의와 범죄미디어의 한계와 향후 과제에 대해 논의하였다.
- keywords
- criminal media, intention of crime, social learning theory, mutability, counterfactual thinking, 범죄미디어, 범죄의도, 사회학습이론, 전환가능성, 사후가정사고
Abstract
Criminal media such as dramas and movies are growing in popularity. However, the effects of criminal media as well as its psychological mechanism are not clearly examined. Based on social learning theory (Bandura, 1978), past studies showed that arrest and punishment to the criminal in media have a suppressing effect. The present research examined the ironic possibility that media coverage of punishment could increase the audience’s criminal intention and proposed the mediating role of counterfactual thinking in the effect. We hypothesized that when punishment was depicted as accidental rather than unavoidable in media coverage, perceived high mutability and counterfactuals focusing on the accidental factors could clarify the ways to commit the crime without being caught and subsequently increase future criminal intention. In this study, 95 college students read a story of plagiarizing either no, accidental, or inevitable punishment, and later asked to report their intention to plagiarize. An ANCOVA with participants‘ own history of plagiarism as a covariate found that the intention of plagiarism in future was significantly different. The results showed that the intention of plagiarism in the accidental punishment condition was higher than that in the inevitable punishment condition. Further, the intention of plagiarism in the accidental punishment condition was the same level with non-punishment condition. The findings suggest that whether criminals are caught or not is not enough to reduce criminal intentions of audience, but how criminals are caught matters.
- keywords
- criminal media, intention of crime, social learning theory, mutability, counterfactual thinking, 범죄미디어, 범죄의도, 사회학습이론, 전환가능성, 사후가정사고
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