- 권한신청
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청소년 비행과 일탈적 자아개념의 상호적 인과관계: 잠재 상태-특성 자기회귀 모델을 통한 재검증
The Reciprocal Effects of Deviant Self-Concept and Delinquent Behaviors Revisited: A Latent State-Trait Autoregressive Modeling Approach
정익중 (이화여자대학교)
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초록
본 연구의 목적은 자기회귀 교차지연 모델 (ARCL: autoregressive cross-lagged model)을 통해 검증된 청소년 비행과 일탈적 자아개념의 상호적 인과관계(이은주, 정익중, 2009)를 잠재 상태-특성 자기회귀 모델 (LST-AR: latent state-trait autoregressive model)의 적용을 통해 재검증하는 데 있다. 일반적으로 상호적 인과관계의 검증을 위해 ARCL 모델이 적용되지만, 일탈적 자아개념이 갖고 있는 특성적 요인의 변량을 통제하지 않은 상태에서 비행과의 상호적 영향을 분석하게 되면 비행이 일탈적 자아개념에 미치는 영향에 대한 해석이 왜곡될 수 있다. 따라서 LST-AR 모델을 통해 일탈적 자아개념의 안정적 특성 및 변동적 상태를 구분하고, 특성적 요인을 통제한 후 상태적 일탈자아와 비행의 상호적 인과관계를 살펴보았다. 본 연구의 분석에는 한국청소년패널조사의 중2에서 고3까지 5년 종단자료가 활용되었다. 연구결과, 일탈적 자아개념과 비행의 상호적 인과관계가 재검증되었을 뿐만 아니라 일탈적 자아개념의 안정적 특성 및 변동적 상태 요인에 따라 비행과의 상호적 인과관계가 다를 수 있음도 확인되었다. 마지막으로 상호적 인과관계의 연구에서 안정적 특성과 변동적 상태 요인의 구분에 대한 방법론적 의미가 논의되었다.
- keywords
- latent state-trait autoregressive modeling, autoregressive cross-lagged modeling, delinquency, deviant self-concept, reciprocal effects, 잠재 상태-특성 자기회귀 모델, 자기회귀 교차지연 모델, 청소년 비행, 일탈적 자아개념, 상호적 인과관계
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to attain a clearer understanding of the reciprocal effects of deviant self- concept and delinquent behaviors by applying a latent state-trait autoregressive modeling approach. Although traditional autoregressive cross-lagged (ARCL) modeling has been widely applied to test the longitudinal reciprocal relationship between the two constructs, it could produce misspecified findings if there were trait-like processes involved in this relationship. The latent state-trait autoregressive(LST-AR) modeling was applied to control trait effects of deviant self-concept and to examine the reciprocal causal relations between the two constructs. Data were taken from a sample of 3,449 eighth graders who were followed annually for 5 years from the Korea Youth Panel Study. The combining LST-AR model with ARCL model substantiated the reciprocal effects of deviant self-concept and delinquent behaviors, even after the stable trait component of deviant self-concept was taken into account. The present findings shed lights on the reciprocal effects of behaviors (i.e., delinquency) and self‒concepts (i.e., deviant self-concept). Not only did behaviors change corresponding self-concept, but the ways adolescents perceived themselves influenced their behaviors.
- keywords
- latent state-trait autoregressive modeling, autoregressive cross-lagged modeling, delinquency, deviant self-concept, reciprocal effects, 잠재 상태-특성 자기회귀 모델, 자기회귀 교차지연 모델, 청소년 비행, 일탈적 자아개념, 상호적 인과관계
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