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Korean Journal of Social and Personality Psychology

ISSN : 1229-0653

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Vol.21 No.2

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Recidivism Prediction Based on Risk Assessment Procedure for Juvenile Diversion at Police

Korean Journal of Social and Personality Psychology / Korean Journal of Social and Personality Psychology, (P)1229-0653;
2007, v.21 no.2, pp.47-57
https://doi.org/10.21193/kjspp.2007.21.2.004

(2007). Recidivism Prediction Based on Risk Assessment Procedure for Juvenile Diversion at Police. Korean Journal of Social and Personality Psychology, 21(2), 47-57, https://doi.org/10.21193/kjspp.2007.21.2.004

Abstract

Juvenile diversion at police has been attempted with expert intervention since 2003. However, legislation for this system has not been made in Korea. A preliminary risk assessment procedure for juvenile offenders has been performed from 2003 to early 2004 at two police stations. This risk evaluation system is very important for determining the level of expert intervention for juvenile diversion. From late 2004 to early 2005, three more police stations have been involved. Now, fifty police stations are applied this juvenile risk evaluation and aftercare system nation-widely. This study explored the effectiveness of the risk evaluation system to predict juvenile recidivism. Data collected from 2003 to 2005 at five police stations were analyzed for this study. The recidivism data were searched at the end of 2006. The results showed criminal records of juveniles significantly predicted the number of committing crime. When the time to the first recidivism was controlled family brokenness was a facilitating factor pushing juveniles into crime. ROC analysis presented that predictive power was statistically significant but weak.

keywords
Juvenile Diversion at Police, Risk Assessment for Juvenile Offenders, Recidivism Prediction, 경찰 소년다이버젼, 비행성평가, 재범예측, Juvenile Diversion at Police, Risk Assessment for Juvenile Offenders, Recidivism Prediction

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