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  • 한국과학기술정보연구원(KISTI) 서울분원 대회의실(별관 3층)
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ISSN : 1229-0653

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Vol.21 No.2

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타인의 행복 예측에서 나타나는 오류 : 서울과 춘천의 삶의 만족도 비교

Discrepancies Between Predicted and Actual Happiness of Others: Seoul Versus Choonchun

한국심리학회지: 사회 및 성격 / Korean Journal of Social and Personality Psychology, (P)1229-0653;
2007, v.21 no.2, pp.35-45
https://doi.org/10.21193/kjspp.2007.21.2.003
성민선 (연세대학교)
서은국 (연세대학교)
전우영 (충남대학교)
성민선, 서은국, & 전우영. (2007). 타인의 행복 예측에서 나타나는 오류 : 서울과 춘천의 삶의 만족도 비교. 한국심리학회지: 사회 및 성격, 21(2), 35-45, https://doi.org/10.21193/kjspp.2007.21.2.003

초록

초점주의(focalism)란 미래의 행복 예측시 초점이 되는 요소나 사건에 과도한 주의를 기울이는 경향으로서, 과장된 정서예측 오류의 주요 원인으로 파악되어 왔다. 그렇다면 초점주의는 개인의 미래 사건 경험에 대한 예측 뿐 아니라 타인의 행복을 예측할 때에도 나타나는가(Shkcade & Kahneman, 1998)? 본 연구는 타인의 행복 예측시 나타나는 초점주의가 한국문화 내에서 발생하는지 살펴보고자, 총 1,429 명의 서울과 춘천시민을 대상으로 설문을 실시하였다. 춘천시민은 서울시민의 쇼핑/문화생활, 직업 영역에 대한 삶의 만족을 실제보다 높다고 예상한 반면, 서울시민은 삶의여유 영역에 대한 춘천시민의 삶의 만족을 실제보다 높게 예상하였다.

keywords
Affective forecasting, Focalism, Life Satisfaction, Seoul, Choonchun, 행복 예측, 초점주의, 삶의 만족도, 서울, 춘천, Affective forecasting, Focalism, Life Satisfaction, Seoul, Choonchun

Abstract

Focalism is a tendency to neglect relevant but less salient factors in theprediction of happiness. To explore whether focalism occurs in the context of predicting other people’s happiness in Korea, the actual and predicted levels of happiness of Seoul and Choonchun residents were analyzed (N=1,429). As expected, predictions of other’s happiness were based disproportionately heavily on aspects of life that might be highly salient from the standpoint of a non-resident. For instance, Choonchun residents overestimated the amount of satisfaction residents of Seoul might derive from domains of shopping and job opportunities. Conversely, people living in Seoul overestimated how happy Choonchun residents might feel in their leisurely pace of life style. The current findingssuggest that focalistic judgmental tendencies emerge among Koreans in happiness predictions, despite holding holistic worldviews that may potentially attenuate such biases (Lam et al., 2005).

keywords
Affective forecasting, Focalism, Life Satisfaction, Seoul, Choonchun, 행복 예측, 초점주의, 삶의 만족도, 서울, 춘천, Affective forecasting, Focalism, Life Satisfaction, Seoul, Choonchun

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