바로가기메뉴

본문 바로가기 주메뉴 바로가기

logo

ISSN : 1229-0653

논문 상세

이전 다음
논문 투고

Vol.21 No.2
Citation Share

타인의 행복 예측에서 나타나는 오류 : 서울과 춘천의 삶의 만족도 비교

Discrepancies Between Predicted and Actual Happiness of Others: Seoul Versus Choonchun

한국심리학회지: 사회 및 성격 / Korean Journal of Social and Personality Psychology, (P)1229-0653;
2007, v.21 no.2, pp.35-45
https://doi.org/10.21193/kjspp.2007.21.2.003
성민선 (연세대학교)
서은국 (연세대학교)
전우영 (충남대학교)
성민선, 서은국, & 전우영. (2007). 타인의 행복 예측에서 나타나는 오류 : 서울과 춘천의 삶의 만족도 비교. 한국심리학회지: 사회 및 성격, 21(2), 35-45, https://doi.org/10.21193/kjspp.2007.21.2.003
  • 다운로드 수
  • 조회수
PDF 다운로드

초록

초점주의(focalism)란 미래의 행복 예측시 초점이 되는 요소나 사건에 과도한 주의를 기울이는 경향으로서, 과장된 정서예측 오류의 주요 원인으로 파악되어 왔다. 그렇다면 초점주의는 개인의 미래 사건 경험에 대한 예측 뿐 아니라 타인의 행복을 예측할 때에도 나타나는가(Shkcade & Kahneman, 1998)? 본 연구는 타인의 행복 예측시 나타나는 초점주의가 한국문화 내에서 발생하는지 살펴보고자, 총 1,429 명의 서울과 춘천시민을 대상으로 설문을 실시하였다. 춘천시민은 서울시민의 쇼핑/문화생활, 직업 영역에 대한 삶의 만족을 실제보다 높다고 예상한 반면, 서울시민은 삶의여유 영역에 대한 춘천시민의 삶의 만족을 실제보다 높게 예상하였다.

keywords
Affective forecasting, Focalism, Life Satisfaction, Seoul, Choonchun, 행복 예측, 초점주의, 삶의 만족도, 서울, 춘천, Affective forecasting, Focalism, Life Satisfaction, Seoul, Choonchun

Abstract

Focalism is a tendency to neglect relevant but less salient factors in theprediction of happiness. To explore whether focalism occurs in the context of predicting other people’s happiness in Korea, the actual and predicted levels of happiness of Seoul and Choonchun residents were analyzed (N=1,429). As expected, predictions of other’s happiness were based disproportionately heavily on aspects of life that might be highly salient from the standpoint of a non-resident. For instance, Choonchun residents overestimated the amount of satisfaction residents of Seoul might derive from domains of shopping and job opportunities. Conversely, people living in Seoul overestimated how happy Choonchun residents might feel in their leisurely pace of life style. The current findingssuggest that focalistic judgmental tendencies emerge among Koreans in happiness predictions, despite holding holistic worldviews that may potentially attenuate such biases (Lam et al., 2005).

keywords
Affective forecasting, Focalism, Life Satisfaction, Seoul, Choonchun, 행복 예측, 초점주의, 삶의 만족도, 서울, 춘천, Affective forecasting, Focalism, Life Satisfaction, Seoul, Choonchun

참고문헌

1.

Allport, F. H. (1955). Theories of perception and the concept of structure. New York: Wiley.

2.

Buehler, R., & McFarland, C. (2001). Intensity bias in affective forecasting: The role of temporal focus. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 27, 1480-1493.

3.

Choi J., Kim, K., Choi., I., & Yi, Y. (2006). Variety- seeking tendency in choice for others: Interpersonal and intrapersonal causes. Journal of Marketing Research, 32, 590-595.

4.

Choi, I., & Nisbett, R. (2000). Cultural psychology of surprise: Holistic theories and recognition of contra- diction. Journal of Personality and Social Psy- chology, 79, 890-905.

5.

Diener, E., Suh, E. M., Lucas, R. E., & Smith, H. L. (1999). Subjective well-being: Three decades of progress. Psychological Bulletin, 125, 276-302.

6.

Gilbert, D. T., Driver-Linn, E., & Wilson, T. D. (2002). The trouble with Vronsky: Impact bias in the forecasting of future affective states. In L. F. Barrett & P. Salovey(Eds.), The wisdom in feeling: Psychological processes in emotional intelligence (pp.114-143). New York: Guilford.

7.

Gilbert, D. T., Gill, M., & Wilson, T. D. (2002). The future is now: Temporal correction in affective forecasting. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 88, 430-444.

8.

Gilbert, D. T., Pinel, E. C., Wilson, T. D., Blumberg, S. J., & Wheatley, T. P. (1998). Immune neglect: A source of durability bias in affective forecasting. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 75, 617-638.

9.

Gilbert, D., Pinel, E., Wilson, T., Blumberg, S., & Wheatley, T. (2002). Durability bias in affective forecasting. In T. Gilovich, D. Griffin, & D. Kahneman(Eds.). Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment(pp.292-312). Cambridge: Cambridge Uni- versity Press.

10.

Greewald, A. G. (1980). The totalitarian ego: Fabrication and revision of personal history. American Psy- chologist, 35, 603-618.

11.

Hsee, C., & Hastie, R. (2006). Decision and experience: Why don't we choose what makes us happy? Trends in Cognitive Sciences.

12.

Jones, E., & Nisbett, R. (1972). The actor and the observer: Divergent perception of the causes of behavior, an Attribution: Perceiving the Causes of Behavior, ed. Edward E. Jones et al., New York: General Learning.

13.

Kahneman, D., Kruger, A., Schkade, D., Schwartz, N., & Stone, A. (2004). A survey method for characterizing daily life experience: The day reconstruction meth- od. Science, 306, 1776-1780.

14.

Kulik, J. A., Sledge, P., & Mahler, H. I. M. (1986). Self confirmatory attribution, egocentrism, and the per- petuation of self beliefs. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 50, 587-594.

15.

Lam, K-C. H., Buehler, R., McFarland, C., Ross, M., & Cheung, I. (2005). Cultural difference in affective forecasting: The role of focalism. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 31, 1296-1309.

16.

Lowenstein, G., & Schkade, D. (1999). Wouldn’t it be nice? Predicting future feelings. In D. Kahneman, E. Diener, & N. Schwarz(Eds.), Well-Being: The foundations of hedonic psychology(pp.85-105). New York: Russell Sage.

17.

Nisbett, R., Peng, K., Choi, I., & Norenzayan, A. (2001). Culture and systems of thought: Holistic versus analytic cognition. Psychological Review, 108, 291- 310.

18.

Schkade, D. & Kahneman, D. (1998). Does living in California make people happy? A focusing illusion of life satisfaction. Psychological Science, 9, 340- 346.

19.

Suh, E., Diener, E., Oishi, S., & Triandis, H. (1998). The Shifting Basis of Life Satisfaction Judgment Across Cultures: Emotions Versus Norms. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 74, 482-493.

20.

Suh, E. M. (in press). Downsides of an overly context- sensitive self: Implications from the culture and subjective well-being research. Journal of Personality.

21.

Wilson, T. D., & Gilbert, D. T. (2003). Affective Forecasting. In M. P. Zanna(Ed.), Advances in Experimental Social Psychology(Vol.35, pp.345- 411). New York: Academic Press.

22.

Wilson, T. D., & Gilbert, D. T. (2005). Affective fore- casting: Knowing what to want. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 14, 131-134.

23.

Wilson, T., Wheatley, T., Meyers J., Gilbert, D., & Axson, D. (2000). Focalism: Asource of durability bias in affective forecasting. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 78, 821-836.

한국심리학회지: 사회 및 성격

논문 투고 OA 정책